Name : YAMASHINA,  Ken'ichiro
            Position : Associate Professor
            Division/Center : Division of Earth Mechanics
            Research Area : Physics of Earthquake and Volcano
 
 
 
 
 
 


Research :

Together with field observations of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, their physical processes and statistical or probabilistic
       features are analy zed. Based on them, we investigate techniques which are available for the p rediction of seismic and volcanic
       activities. For example, during the activ e period of Unzen volcano, southern Japan, between 1991-95, marked repetitio ns of inflation
       and deflation with interval of about 1-2 hours were found by a tiltmeter installed close to the crater. Considering that such an oscilla
       tion of tilt was likely to occur by rhythmical supply of magma along the ven t, a method of real-time monitoring of the supply rate of
       magma was proposed. As a result of this method, reactivation of magma was convinced before the extrusion was actually witnessed
       on the surface in 1993, and the temporal change of inferred rate was referred to for the planning of disaster prevent ion. According to
       reanalysis of crustal deformation data at Unzen volcano, a detailed process of ascending magma column and occurrence of subsurface
       la teral intrusion was proved during the period just before the first appearenc e of a lava dome in 1991. Physical processes are
       investigated also at Unzen volcano for various interesting phenomena such as saw-like repetition of tilt change associated with a
       strong earthquake swarm with magitudes of 2-3 in 1993-94, peculiar oscillation of the mountain with period of 30-100 hours in
       1994-95, and so on. As for the observation of crustal deformations, a method named time-differential stereoscopy was put to
       practical use at Unzen volc ano using photographs taken at exactly the same location, and it is exprimen tally applied to different
       fields, e.g. Iwate volcano. In addition to these, in order to clarify the premonitory process and aftermath, crustal deforma tion data and
       others are reexamined with respect of the great events such as the 1914 eruption of Sakurajima volcano, the 1923 Kanto and the 1946
       Nankai earthquakes. A probability prediction of seismic activity especially based on hypocentral catalog data is another subject. With
       special references to mechanical correlation between various factors and events, practical criteri a to distinguish foreshocks,
       characteristic features before a large earthqua ke, and techniques for predicting aftershock activity are investigated.

Publications :

Yamashina, K. and H. Shimizu, Crustal deformation in the mid-May 1991 crisis preceding the extrusion of a dacite lava dome at Unzen volcano, Japan, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 89, 43--55, 1999.

Yamashina, K. and T. Matsushima, Ground temperature change observed at Unzen volcano associated with the 1990-1995 eruption, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 89, 65--71, 1999.

Yamashina, K., T. Matsushima and S. Ohmi, Volcanic deformation at Unzen, Japan, visualized by a time-differential stereoscopy, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 89, 73--80, 1999.

Yamashina, K., Experimental prediction of the number of aftershocks of the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan earthquake, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., Univ. Tokyo, 75, 79--91, 2000.