Session summaries by conveners
Session 1-1: Recent developments
in volcano research
This session began
with a plenary talk by Dr. Bruce Houghton discussing the diversity of volcanism
and the new developments regarding understanding of various volcanic processes.
Oral sessions on Monday afternoon discussed tomographic analyses of seismic
anomalies under individual volcanoes along the Japanese volcanic front and
also across all of east Asia, interactions between basalts and granites in
plutonic systems, numerical simulations of magma permeability, fluid dynamics
of volcanic blasts, and petrologic insights on magma system recharge. Subsequent
talks provided compelling evidence that high-temperature silicic lava domes
are capable of developing seismogenic faults, discussed volcanic degassing
processes and their implications with regard to hazards and hazard mitigation,
and concluded with a study on experimental studies of the eruptive products
from Unzen volcano. Presentations on Tuesday continue to explore the diversity
of volcanism by focusing on various research on pyroclastic flows, lava flows,
volcano deformation, lahars, tephra falls, and the processes and physics
associated with emplacements of silicic lava domes.
The Thursday afternoon mostly focused on the description of the dynamics
of eruptive phenomena as pyroclastic flow, tephra fallout, lahar, lava dome,
lava flows and tsunamis. The session began with a talk by K.Kano on the analysis
of pyroclastic flow dynamics by using thermo-remanent magnetization vectors.
F.Maeno presented a new model of pyroclastic flow impact on sea and investigated
the dynamics of associated tsunamis with specific application to the Kikai
caldera, Japan. C:Bonadonna presented a review of tephra dispersal modeling
and draw some conclusions on the comparative applicability of existing models.
V.Manville and S.Fagents discussed lahar dynamics of the recent 2007 Ruapehu
lahar by illustrating observational data and shallow-water modeling, respectively.
M.Favalli presented a numerical model aimed at the definition of lava flow
invasion maps and discussed its application to Mt. Etna and Nyiragongo. Finally,
the sub-section included two talks on lava domes: one given by Y.Lavallee
on the experimental determination of rheological properties of crystalline
lavas, and the other given by K.Anderson on the investigation of effusive
silicic eruptions by using a numerical model of the volcanic system. (A.
Neri)
Session 1-2: Volcano observation
research and eruption forecast and alert programs
Oral presentations
on Thursday and Friday included reports on developments in satellite remote
sensing, including semi-automated processing of interferometric synthetic
aperture radar (InSAR) data for deformation studies and the Ozone Mapping
Instrument (OMI) for studies of pre-eruptive and eruptive degassing of sulfur
dioxide. Both presentations emphasized the goal of making these important
data more easily and widely available to the volcanological community. Recent
developments in seismic, lightning detection, and infrasound monitoring techniques
were also presented. We heard about exciting early results of testing of
the millimeter wave AVTIS system that can be used to track thermal and morphologic
changes at volcanoes in cloudy conditions. Recently developed instrumentation
standards for monitoring in the U.S. will be described. Case studies of
recent eruptive events including the 2006 eruption Merapi, Indonesia and
the 2007 eruption of Stromboli, Italy were heard, along with and account
of the technology used to alert authorities of the well-forecast breakout
of Ruapehu crater lake. Reports on the effort to create the WOVOdat database
of volcanic unrest and of the probabilistic forecasting system BET-EF were
given. Two talks about the challenges of providing timely information about
volcanic eruptions to the aviation sector were given, and we are reminded
that we might consider the large number of people in airplanes in volcanic
airspace as gcities over volcanoes.h (J. Ewert)
Session 1-3: Health hazards
of coexisting with active volcanoes
• Important lessons
for the treatment of casualties were obtained at Unzen and are very applicable
to emergency planning at other volcanoes.
• Workers involved
in responding to volcanic crises need special occupational health and safety
provision as they work long hours and are under stress.
• The evacuation of
health facilities such as hospitals presents very special problems, for example,
for psychiatric patients.
• The hazards of soil
gases need to be more widely understood in volcanic areas where there are
communities potentially exposed to soil CO2, radon and H2S. Persistent degassing
at volcanoes can present hazards through contamination of rain water or grounding.
The monitoring of so2 at Miyakejima is unique and would serve as a model
for other small islands with degassing. More information and warning is needed
in volcanic areas to prevent fatal accidents. H2S is the most important gas
to consider.
• River waters from
volcanoes can present toxic hazards. The example of neutralisation at Kusatsu
is another important model.
• Multidisciplinary
studies between volcanic modellers and mineralogists offer new innovative
approaches to risk assessment for volcanic ash health hazards.
• New mineralogical
analytical methods are being developed to enhance toxicological understanding.
(C. Horwell)
Session 2-1a: Responding to
Natural Disasters: Case histories with lessons for volcano crises
The session highlighted
common issues inherent in natural disaster preparation and response regardless
of the type of natural crisis, technological sophistication or country wealth.
All speakers addressed the need for sound scientific understanding, hazard
assessment and monitoring; pre-planning amongst responsible agencies and
the communities at risk; trust among communities, scientists and public officials;
and most importantly the establishment of effective communications and relationships
prior to the crisis. Although easily said, it is not. Effective disaster
preparation is a long-term, continuous commitment by all parties. Also highlighted
during the session were additional complications caused by dealing with simultaneous
or by closely-spaced natural crises, underscoring the need to plan for and
practice worst case scenarios. (C. Gardner)
Session 2-1b: Assessing long
term volcanic hazards and risks
The session on
long-term volcanic hazard assessment included a wide-range of talks on the
challenges facing volcanologists in understanding low probability, but potentially
high consequence volcanic events. Papers were presented about volcanic hazard
assessment for nuclear facilities, both existing and planned, and on-going
volcanic hazards to urban regions, such as Manila, Barcelona, Mexico City,
Naples, and Auckland, as well as hazards faced by whole regions, such as
the Asia-Pacific region. Many presentations included a variety of probabilistic
approaches to assessing the recurrence rates of volcanic activity, the potential
magnitudes of volcanic eruptions, and the potential spatial distribution
of future volcanic events. In several regions, such as the Campi Flegrei
and Auckland, these probabilistic assessments are part of a comprehensive
volcanic hazard assessment. The session demonstrated examples of both temporal
and spatial clustering of volcanic eruptions, and the relationships of this
clustering to factors such as geophysical anomalies, tectonic settings and
magma production rates. Very large explosive eruptions and caldera formation
represent rare but major hazards in many countries. The session highlighted
the difficulties in evaluating the hazards from such events and recognising
precursory signs of such eruptions. Key challenges for long-term hazards
assessments include: organisation and availability of systematic data, major
knowledge gaps in the developing world, and development of methodologies
that are widely accepted by the volcanological community. Some of these challenges
can be partly addressed by development of databases, such as in the VOGRIPA
Project, and through ongoing activities of the IAVCEI Commissions on Statistics
in Volcanology, WOVO and Explosive Volcanism. (T. Ui, C. Connor, S. Sparks)
Session 2-2: Impacts of volcanic
activity on infrastructure and effective risk reduction strategies
Recent volcanic
unrest around the world has provided many opportunities to study, mitigate,
and recover from impacts of eruptions and related hazards. This session
covered research on volcanic sedimentation and other hazardous processes,
case studies of impacts, mitigation measures, and vulnerability and risk
analyses.
Volcaniclastic sedimentation often produces lahars that alter the landscape
and interfere with lifelines for many years. As the hydrologic system adjusts
to the new sediment regime and material is redistributed, lahar occurrence
and intensity decreases. Higher storm intensities suggest more severe lahar
hazards in the future and utilization of meteorological data in real time
is critical. Structural mitigation, while expensive, can be effective in
minimizing lahar impacts. Ash fall impacts are often widespread and significant
even in small amounts to utilities; pre-eruption evaluation of vulnerability
to ash fall and preparedness planning can reduce impacts.
Hazard maps and emergency response plans must be updated following major
volcanic events to account for new channel geometry. Community involvement
in ongoing hazard monitoring and warning systems – especially in rural areas
– can be effective. Hazard mapping and vulnerability analyses and risk assessments
must be geared to the needs of local authorities, the public, and managers
of utilities and other elements of infrastructure. Interagency relationships
are often complex, but must be developed to ensure effective coordination
and integration of scientific information into emergency planning. Warning
and response systems require practice and attention to back up communication.
Public education is important to dispel over-reliance on engineered structures
for safety. Finally, practitioners must use care in explaining concepts
of hazard and risk, and work towards a consistent terminology. (T. Neal)
Session 2-3: Long-term land
use planning that mitigates volcanic risk
In the session
of "Long-term land-use planning that mitigates volcanic risk", seven oral
presentations and four poster presentations were performed. Among these,
it was reported that emergency response plans that had been established after
the catastrophic 1980 eruption of Mount St.Helens in the United States had
functioned effectively at 2004 eruption in the presentation performed by
the keynote lecture. A federal government acquired private and leased lands
around the volcano in immediate hazard zones based on the volcanic hazard
maps, and measures to place roads and facilities outside of immediate hazard
zones were executed. It was shown for such a land use and the facilities
arrangement to greatly reduce potential hazard to life and the property and
to have become a factor to do emergency response efforts smoothly.
It was shown that the land-use plans were main measures to reduce the
volcanic risk in other presentations. Because the volcano approaches the
urban area in Japan where land- use is severe, the land-use plan including
the house is necessary. In the municipality located in the foot in Mt. Usu
where the eruption of 2000 was experienced, it was reported that elementary
schools and hospitals, etc. had relocated to safer area based on the land-use
plan based on the hazard map that had been shown in the plans for reconstruction
of the area affected by volcanic activity. It was introduced to have achieved
the reconstruction plan of resident conception to reproduce the residential
area in which it was struck by the volcanic disaster of Mt.Unzen by raising
the land. Moreover, the ideal of the support plan to rebuilding the house
in which it was struck by natural disasters was proposed, and the participant's
agreement was obtained. (K. Takahashi)
Session 3-1: Linkage for Reducing
Volcanic Risks: Cooperation and mutual support among researchers, administrators,
mass media, inhabitants, local organizations and volunteers
Because of increasing
wide recognition of this subject, the Hall C was full of attendants mostly
(over 95%) from overseas. Various trials toward effective communication in
higher standard were reported from many countries. Cooperative linkages not
only during the crises but also under the normal condition resulted in many
success stories or advances such as Tungurahua in 2006. Hugo Yepes reported
gthe Tungrahuafs success was possible because scientists worked with the
community and not for the community. The concept working closely scientist
and community, the continual presence of scientists in the area, and their
integration into the community, plus the integration of county authorities,
has generated a new model of risk management in Ecuador.h The attending
Japanese journalists pointed that this statement is equivalent to the idea
of home doctor in cases of the crisis managements at Mt. Unzen in 1990-1995,
Mt. Iwate in 1998 and Mt. Usu in 2000. New advances were also reported for
information sharing through IT technology, such as utilization of real time
web in New Zealand, an effective real time Web Journalism at Miyakejima,
and U. S. Pierce Countyfs gIntellicast systemh that allows tens thousands
telephone calls to each home and business in a few minutes in case of emergency.
Difficult problems were also reported: difficulty of scientific terminology
such as gsmall pyroclastic flowh during Mt. Unzen crisis, single voice vs.
second opinion, and lack of key information despite of flood. The Multinational
Andean Projects: Geosciences for Andean Communities (MAP-GAC) funded by Canadian
International Developing Agency provided for geo-science institutions lateral
linkage of gtransforming science into actionh. We asked each speaker for
15 minutes talk instead of original 20 minutes, and over 30 minutes were
spent for stimulating discussions in the audience. This session may the first
to show the presence of the 3 Japanese journalists long working together
with volcanologists since the 1991 Unzen disaster. (H. Okada)
Session 3-2: Education and
outreach – Strategies that improve community awareness about volcanoes
In our session we discussed
the importance of using many existing venues to promote an awareness of volcanic
hazards. For example, museums, schools, tourist facilities, cultural exchange
programs and the Internet are effective and efficient means for reaching
whole families, and for bringing information about hazards to the next generation.
New technologies, some of them interactive in nature, are increasing our
opportunities to teach about geologic landscapes to large numbers of people.
We discussed the importance of local communities keeping records of volcanic
eruptions and their effects. People who have experienced volcanic eruptions
should record their experiences in written accounts, photographs and videos,
and in memory. They share a duty to bring this information to the next generation.
Participants in session 3.2 and in the Outreach Exchange that followed demonstrated
that when they apply their minds! to it, they can invent effective physical
models that demonstrate volcanic processes. Whatever venues are used for
raising awareness about volcanoes, we should use choose our messages carefully
and make the information meaningful to listeners by applying analogies to
which the audience can relate. We must not overwhelm listeners with scientific
information. Finally, it is of utmost importance that scientists, citizens,
local authorities and media should work collaboratively, with complementary
messages, toward a common goal of raising awareness about volcanoes. (C.
Driedger)
Session 3-3: Community and
Volcanism-archaeology, tradition and recovery
This session consisted
of a plenary talk and 10 further speakers covering a very wide range of subjects;
from volcanoes in the mythological world to actual recovery problems from
the volcanic disasters in the 21th century.
A range of myths are known to describe volcanic eruptions directly or
indirectly. Two presenting groups (Japanese and NZ)demonstrated how geological
studies are being used to confirm what kind of volcanic phenomena those myths
might express (or not). Other groups showed that combined volcanology and
archaeological studies could demonstrate aspects of recovery from volcanic
catastrophes, specifically through the cases of 5~6th century eruptions of
Haruna in Japan and in the AD1362 Oraefahjokull eruption in Iceland. Archeological
surveys also were described to show how dreadfully volcanic eruptions damaged
a community or a family in the case of the 472 Vesuvius eruption or in late
Holocene eruptions affecting the present area of Managua in Nicuragua. In
the cases of the 1926 Tokachi eruption and the 1943 Showa-Shinzan eruption
in Hokkaido, there were two local persons who dedicated their lives to observing
and educuating on the eruption and aftermath of volcanism. The last two speeches
were made by sociologists, the former discussed a series of surveys in Japan
(2003-05) on how people percieve of the socio-economic impact of volcanic
eruptions, and the latter explained aspects of human behavior relating to
evacuation from volcanism compared to other natural hazards. (I. Kitahara)
@Copyright,
Cities on Volcanoes 5, November 2007
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