Program

Oct. 28 (DAY 0)

Arrival at Matsushima

Oct. 29 (DAY 1)

Registration 7:45
Opening Remarks 8:00-8:20
Major Objective 8:20-8:25
8:20-8:25 Naoshi Hirata (ERI), Masayoshi Nakashima, Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
The new project: Special Project for Reducing Vulnerability for Urban Mega Earthquake Disasters
Session 1 Tokyo and Southern California earthquake scenarios
Chair: K. Satake
8:25–8:40 Naoshi Hirata (ERI)
New assumption of Tokyo scenario
8:40–8:55 Hiroshi Sato, Tatsuya Ishiyama, Naoko Kato (ERI), Susumu Abe (JGI)
Imaging of seismogentic source faults for constructing community fault model
8:55–9:10 David Okaya (USC), Andy Freed, Thorsten Becker, Hiroshi Sato, Naoshi Hirata, Takuya Nishimura, Tatsuya Ishiyama
Reorganization of stresses beneath greater Tokyo after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki M9 earthquake -- a new Japan-USA research effort
9:10–9:30 Thomas H. Jordan (SCEC)
Earthquake Forecasting as a System Science Problem
9:30–9:45 Muneo Hori (ERI)
Computer simulation for urban area against seismic shaking and tsunami
9:45–10:00 Koichi Maekawa (Univ. of Tokyo)
Multi-scale simulation of concrete structures against coupled long-term ambient and seismic actions
10:00–10:10 Discussion

Break 10:10–10:25
Session 2 Disaster Response and Restoration for Damaged Earthquakes
Chair: H. Hayashi
10:25–10:45 Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
An Introduction of a New 5-year MEXT Research Program on Urban Resilience for Mega Earthquake Disasters
10:45–11:05 Kathleen Tierney (Natural Hazards Center Director, Univ. of Colorado)
Recent U. S. Policies for Disaster Loss Reduction: What Do They Seek to Accomplish and What Do We Know About Progress?
11:05–11:20 Keiko Tamura, Munenari Inogichi (Niigata Univ.), Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
Supporting Life Recovery Process with the Management System Based on the Victims Master Database - A study of Iwate Prefecture in 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake -
11:20–11:35 Kimiro Meguro (IIS, Univ. of Tokyo)
Towards Implementation of Proper Disaster Countermeasures for Minimizing Negative Impact due to Future Large Disasters: Perspectives for Total Disaster Management and Concrete Procedure
11:35–11:50 Daniel Aldrich (Purdue University)
Social Capital's Role in Disaster Recovery
11:50–12:05 Robert Olshansky
The Unique Challenges of Long-Term Post-Disaster Recovery.
12:05–12:15 Discussion

Lunch 12:15-13:15
Session 3 Functional maintenance of urban facilities and recovery from the seismic damage
Chair: M. Nakashima
13:15–13:35 Masayoshi Nakashima, Takashi Nozawa (DPRI)
Maintenance and Recovery of Functionality in Urban Infrastructures
13:35–13:55 Stephen A. Mahin (PEER, UC Berkeley)
Engineering advances needed to achieve resilient facilities and communities
13:55–14:10 Kenichi Abe (E-defense, NIED)
Potential roles of the newly renovated E-Defense
14:10–14:25 Motomi Takahashi (Kajima Corp.), Keiichiro Suita (Kyoto Univ.) and Norihide Koshika (Kobori Research Complex)
Seismic behavior and damage of high-rise building
14:25–14:40 Michihito Shiraishi (Shimizu Corp.)
Structural health monitoring for early recovery of building functionality and serviceability after earthquakes
14:40-14:55 Anne Lennitzer (UCI)
Large-Scale Tests and Condition Assessment on Soils, Foundations, and Underground Structures
14:55-15:10 Tracy C. Becker (DPRI)
Performance-Based Design of Advanced Protective Systems
15:10-15:20 Discussion

Break 15:20-15:35
Session 4 Toward disaster mitigation #1
Chair: T. Iwata
15:35–15:50 Masumi Yamada (DPRI)
Lessons from the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake for the Earthquake Early Warning System
15:50-16:05 Yusaku Ohta (Tohoku Univ.)
Quasi real-time fault model estimation based on RTK-GPS analysis
16:05-16:20 Gregory C. Beroza (Stanford)
Have Recent Earthquakes Exposed Flaws in, or Misunderstandings of, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis?
16:20–16:30 Discussion

Break 16:30-17:00
Discussions for Multidisciplinary Collaborations 17:00-18:00
Reception Dinner 18:30-20:30

Oct. 30 (DAY 2)

Session 5 Earthquake physics #2
Chair: N. Kato
8:00-8:15 Kazushige Obara (ERI)
Rupture propagation of slow slip revealed from tremor activity along the subducting plate interface
8:15-8:30 Kenji Satake (ERI), Yushiro Fujii (IISEE), Tomoya Harada (ERI) and Yuichi Namegaya (AIST)
Time and Space Distribution of Coseismic Slip of the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake as Inferred from Tsunami Waveform Data
8:30-8:45 Shinji Toda (Tohoku Univ.) and Ross S. Stein (USGS)
Widespread seismicity excitation in Kanto and elsewhere due to the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake interpreted in terms of rate/state Coulomb stress transfer
8:45-9:00 Naoyuki Kato (ERI)
Complex Earthquake Cycles in Models of Interacting Faults
9:00-9:15 Eric M. Dunham (Stanford)
Conditions for trench-breaking megathrust earthquakes from dynamic rupture modeling
9:15-9:30 James J. Mori (DPRI)
Japan Trench Fast Drilling Project: Investigating the Large Slip of the Tohoku Earthquake
9:30-9:45 Aitaro Kato, Toshihiro Igarashi, and Jun’ichi Fukuda (ERI)
Regional extent of the large coseismic slip zone of the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake delineated by on-fault aftershocks
9:45-10:00 Discussion

Break 10:00-10:15
Session 6 Toward disaster mitigation #2
Chair: J. Mori
10:15-10:30 Felipe Dimer de Oliveira (Risk Frontiers) and Paul Somerville (URS, Risk Frontiers)
Reliability of Tests for Mega Earthquake Clustering
10:30-10:45 Tomotaka Iwata, Kayoko Sato and Kimiyuki Asano (DPRI)
Long-Period Ground Motion Characteristics in the Osaka Sedimentary Basin during the 2011 Great Tohoku Earthquake: Source and Basin Effects
10:45–11:00 Toshiro Tanimoto (UCSB)
Unique Monochromatic High-Frequency Shaking Data for the Los Angeles Basin
11:00-11:15 Ricardo Taborda (CMU)
High-Frequency Deterministic Earthquake Simulations -- Recent Efforts and Future Plans
11:15-11:30 Kim Olsen (SDSU), William Savran, and Bo H. Jacobsen
Ground Motion Prediction From Low-velocity Sediments including Statistical Models of Inhomogeneities in Southern California Basins
11:30-11:45 Dominic Assimaki (Georgia Tech)
Observations, simulations and integration of nonlinear site effects in ground motion predictions
11:45-12:00 Munenari Inoguchi, Keiko Tamura (Niigata Univ.), Reo Kimura (Univ. of Hyogo), Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
Capability of Dynamic Maps to Develop Common Operational Picture in Disaster Response - A Case Study of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake based on the Activities of Emergency Mapping Team -
12:00-12:15 Discussion

Lunch 12:15-13:15
Free discussions or Excursion (Zuiganji temple) 13:15-14:15
Session 7 Earthquake statistics and predictability
Chair: N. Hirata
14:15–14:30 Hiroshi Tsuruoka (ERI), Kazuyoshi NANJO(NIED), Sayoko YOKOI(ERI), Naoshi HIRATA(ERI)
Prospective Evaluation of the CSEP-Japan Earthquake Forecasts
14:30–14:50 Katsuhiko Shiomi (NIED)
Nation-wide seismograph networks in Japan
14:50-15:05 Hisanori Kimura (NIED)
Repeating earthquake activity below the Kanto region after the Off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake
15:05–15:20 Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ) and the CSEP Working Group
CSEP Worldwide: Developments - Experiments - Results
15:20-15:35 Maximilian J. Werner (Princeton Univ.) and Agnes Helmstetter (ISTerre, Univ. of Grenoble)
Evaluating the Predictability of Very Short-Term Earthquake Clustering
15:35–15:50 Discussion

Break 15:50-16:05
Posters 16:05-17:05
Yannis Panayotopoulos (ERI)
Attenuation structure in the complex subduction zone beneath the Kanto Basin retrieved by the Tokyo Metropolitan Seismic Observation Network.
Akinori Hashima (ERI), Toshinori Sato, Tanio Ito, Takahiro Miyauchi, Hiroshi Sato
Deformation model of Kanto, Japan since 1 Ma due to double subduction and collision of the Izu-Bonin Arc
Sayoko Yokoi, Hiroshi Tsuruoka(ERI), Kazuyoshi Nanjo(NIED), Naoshi Hirata(ERI)
Earthquake forecasting model for Kanto district in Japan
Takeo Ishibe (ERI), Shin’ichi Sakai, Kunihiko Shimazaki, Kenji Satake, Hiroshi Tsuruoka, Shigeki Nakagawa, and Naoshi Hirata
Abrupt changes in seismicity rate in Kanto region after the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake
Muneyoshi NUMADA & Kimiro MEGURO (IIS, Univ. of Tokyo)
Analysis of Disaster Process by Running Spectrum Approach of Keywords - Case study of Fukushima minpo -
General Discussions 17:05-17:35
Special Lecture: the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake
Chair: K. Satake
17:35–18:05 Toru Matsuzawa (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
What happened? - Lessons from the M9 earthquake
18:05–18:35 Fumihiko Imamura (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
Damage due to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, and its lessons.
18:35–18:50 Discussion

Closing Remarks 18:50-19:00
Dinner 19:30-21:00
Briefing session for field trip by Fumihiko Imamura (Tohoku Univ.) 21:00–22:00

Oct. 31 (DAY 3)

Field Trip
7:00 Breakfast
8:00 Checkout
8:00-15:00 Field trip
Kentato Imai (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
16:00 Depart Sendai station
18:00 Arrive at Tokyo terminal
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