Program
Oct. 28 (DAY 0)
Arrival at Matsushima
Oct. 29 (DAY 1)
Registration 7:45
Opening Remarks 8:00-8:20
- Prof. Takehiro Koyaguchi (ERI Director) 5 min
- Prof. Thomas H. Jordan (SCEC Director) 5 min
- Prof. Masayoshi Nakashima (DPRI Director) 5 min
- Mr. Hiromiki Terada (Earthquake and Disaster-Reduction Research Division Director, MEXT) 5 min
Major Objective 8:20-8:25
- 8:20-8:25 Naoshi Hirata (ERI), Masayoshi Nakashima, Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
- The new project: Special Project for Reducing Vulnerability for Urban Mega Earthquake Disasters
Session 1 Tokyo and Southern California earthquake scenarios
Chair: K. Satake
- 8:25–8:40 Naoshi Hirata (ERI)
- New assumption of Tokyo scenario
- 8:40–8:55 Hiroshi Sato, Tatsuya Ishiyama, Naoko Kato (ERI), Susumu Abe (JGI)
- Imaging of seismogentic source faults for constructing community fault model
- 8:55–9:10 David Okaya (USC), Andy Freed, Thorsten Becker, Hiroshi Sato, Naoshi Hirata, Takuya Nishimura, Tatsuya Ishiyama
- Reorganization of stresses beneath greater Tokyo after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki M9 earthquake -- a new Japan-USA research effort
- 9:10–9:30 Thomas H. Jordan (SCEC)
- Earthquake Forecasting as a System Science Problem
- 9:30–9:45 Muneo Hori (ERI)
- Computer simulation for urban area against seismic shaking and tsunami
- 9:45–10:00 Koichi Maekawa (Univ. of Tokyo)
- Multi-scale simulation of concrete structures against coupled long-term ambient and seismic actions
- 10:00–10:10 Discussion
Break 10:10–10:25
Session 2 Disaster Response and Restoration for Damaged Earthquakes
Chair: H. Hayashi
- 10:25–10:45 Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
- An Introduction of a New 5-year MEXT Research Program on Urban Resilience for Mega Earthquake Disasters
- 10:45–11:05 Kathleen Tierney (Natural Hazards Center Director, Univ. of Colorado)
- Recent U. S. Policies for Disaster Loss Reduction: What Do They Seek to Accomplish and What Do We Know About Progress?
- 11:05–11:20 Keiko Tamura, Munenari Inogichi (Niigata Univ.), Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
- Supporting Life Recovery Process with the Management System Based on the Victims Master Database - A study of Iwate Prefecture in 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake -
- 11:20–11:35 Kimiro Meguro (IIS, Univ. of Tokyo)
- Towards Implementation of Proper Disaster Countermeasures for Minimizing Negative Impact due to Future Large Disasters: Perspectives for Total Disaster Management and Concrete Procedure
- 11:35–11:50 Daniel Aldrich (Purdue University)
- Social Capital's Role in Disaster Recovery
- 11:50–12:05 Robert Olshansky
- The Unique Challenges of Long-Term Post-Disaster Recovery.
- 12:05–12:15 Discussion
Lunch 12:15-13:15
Session 3 Functional maintenance of urban facilities and recovery from the seismic damage
Chair: M. Nakashima
- 13:15–13:35 Masayoshi Nakashima, Takashi Nozawa (DPRI)
- Maintenance and Recovery of Functionality in Urban Infrastructures
- 13:35–13:55 Stephen A. Mahin (PEER, UC Berkeley)
- Engineering advances needed to achieve resilient facilities and communities
- 13:55–14:10 Kenichi Abe (E-defense, NIED)
- Potential roles of the newly renovated E-Defense
- 14:10–14:25 Motomi Takahashi (Kajima Corp.), Keiichiro Suita (Kyoto Univ.) and Norihide Koshika (Kobori Research Complex)
- Seismic behavior and damage of high-rise building
- 14:25–14:40 Michihito Shiraishi (Shimizu Corp.)
- Structural health monitoring for early recovery of building functionality and serviceability after earthquakes
- 14:40-14:55 Anne Lennitzer (UCI)
- Large-Scale Tests and Condition Assessment on Soils, Foundations, and Underground Structures
- 14:55-15:10 Tracy C. Becker (DPRI)
- Performance-Based Design of Advanced Protective Systems
- 15:10-15:20 Discussion
Break 15:20-15:35
Session 4 Toward disaster mitigation #1
Chair: T. Iwata
- 15:35–15:50 Masumi Yamada (DPRI)
- Lessons from the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake for the Earthquake Early Warning System
- 15:50-16:05 Yusaku Ohta (Tohoku Univ.)
- Quasi real-time fault model estimation based on RTK-GPS analysis
- 16:05-16:20 Gregory C. Beroza (Stanford)
- Have Recent Earthquakes Exposed Flaws in, or Misunderstandings of, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis?
- 16:20–16:30 Discussion
Break 16:30-17:00
Discussions for Multidisciplinary Collaborations 17:00-18:00
Reception Dinner 18:30-20:30
Oct. 30 (DAY 2)
Session 5 Earthquake physics #2
Chair: N. Kato
- 8:00-8:15 Kazushige Obara (ERI)
- Rupture propagation of slow slip revealed from tremor activity along the subducting plate interface
- 8:15-8:30 Kenji Satake (ERI), Yushiro Fujii (IISEE), Tomoya Harada (ERI) and Yuichi Namegaya (AIST)
- Time and Space Distribution of Coseismic Slip of the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake as Inferred from Tsunami Waveform Data
- 8:30-8:45 Shinji Toda (Tohoku Univ.) and Ross S. Stein (USGS)
- Widespread seismicity excitation in Kanto and elsewhere due to the 2011 M=9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake interpreted in terms of rate/state Coulomb stress transfer
- 8:45-9:00 Naoyuki Kato (ERI)
- Complex Earthquake Cycles in Models of Interacting Faults
- 9:00-9:15 Eric M. Dunham (Stanford)
- Conditions for trench-breaking megathrust earthquakes from dynamic rupture modeling
- 9:15-9:30 James J. Mori (DPRI)
- Japan Trench Fast Drilling Project: Investigating the Large Slip of the Tohoku Earthquake
- 9:30-9:45 Aitaro Kato, Toshihiro Igarashi, and Jun’ichi Fukuda (ERI)
- Regional extent of the large coseismic slip zone of the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake delineated by on-fault aftershocks
- 9:45-10:00 Discussion
Break 10:00-10:15
Session 6 Toward disaster mitigation #2
Chair: J. Mori
- 10:15-10:30 Felipe Dimer de Oliveira (Risk Frontiers) and Paul Somerville (URS, Risk Frontiers)
- Reliability of Tests for Mega Earthquake Clustering
- 10:30-10:45 Tomotaka Iwata, Kayoko Sato and Kimiyuki Asano (DPRI)
- Long-Period Ground Motion Characteristics in the Osaka Sedimentary Basin during the 2011 Great Tohoku Earthquake: Source and Basin Effects
- 10:45–11:00 Toshiro Tanimoto (UCSB)
- Unique Monochromatic High-Frequency Shaking Data for the Los Angeles Basin
- 11:00-11:15 Ricardo Taborda (CMU)
- High-Frequency Deterministic Earthquake Simulations -- Recent Efforts and Future Plans
- 11:15-11:30 Kim Olsen (SDSU), William Savran, and Bo H. Jacobsen
- Ground Motion Prediction From Low-velocity Sediments including Statistical Models of Inhomogeneities in Southern California Basins
- 11:30-11:45 Dominic Assimaki (Georgia Tech)
- Observations, simulations and integration of nonlinear site effects in ground motion predictions
- 11:45-12:00 Munenari Inoguchi, Keiko Tamura (Niigata Univ.), Reo Kimura (Univ. of Hyogo), Haruo Hayashi (DPRI)
- Capability of Dynamic Maps to Develop Common Operational Picture in Disaster Response - A Case Study of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake based on the Activities of Emergency Mapping Team -
- 12:00-12:15 Discussion
Lunch 12:15-13:15
Free discussions or Excursion (Zuiganji temple) 13:15-14:15
Session 7 Earthquake statistics and predictability
Chair: N. Hirata
- 14:15–14:30 Hiroshi Tsuruoka (ERI), Kazuyoshi NANJO(NIED), Sayoko YOKOI(ERI), Naoshi HIRATA(ERI)
- Prospective Evaluation of the CSEP-Japan Earthquake Forecasts
- 14:30–14:50 Katsuhiko Shiomi (NIED)
- Nation-wide seismograph networks in Japan
- 14:50-15:05 Hisanori Kimura (NIED)
- Repeating earthquake activity below the Kanto region after the Off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake
- 15:05–15:20 Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ) and the CSEP Working Group
- CSEP Worldwide: Developments - Experiments - Results
- 15:20-15:35 Maximilian J. Werner (Princeton Univ.) and Agnes Helmstetter (ISTerre, Univ. of Grenoble)
- Evaluating the Predictability of Very Short-Term Earthquake Clustering
- 15:35–15:50 Discussion
Break 15:50-16:05
Posters 16:05-17:05
- Yannis Panayotopoulos (ERI)
- Attenuation structure in the complex subduction zone beneath the Kanto Basin retrieved by the Tokyo Metropolitan Seismic Observation Network.
- Akinori Hashima (ERI), Toshinori Sato, Tanio Ito, Takahiro Miyauchi, Hiroshi Sato
- Deformation model of Kanto, Japan since 1 Ma due to double subduction and collision of the Izu-Bonin Arc
- Sayoko Yokoi, Hiroshi Tsuruoka(ERI), Kazuyoshi Nanjo(NIED), Naoshi Hirata(ERI)
- Earthquake forecasting model for Kanto district in Japan
- Takeo Ishibe (ERI), Shin’ichi Sakai, Kunihiko Shimazaki, Kenji Satake, Hiroshi Tsuruoka, Shigeki Nakagawa, and Naoshi Hirata
- Abrupt changes in seismicity rate in Kanto region after the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake
- Muneyoshi NUMADA & Kimiro MEGURO (IIS, Univ. of Tokyo)
- Analysis of Disaster Process by Running Spectrum Approach of Keywords - Case study of Fukushima minpo -
General Discussions 17:05-17:35
Special Lecture: the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake
Chair: K. Satake
- 17:35–18:05 Toru Matsuzawa (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
- What happened? - Lessons from the M9 earthquake
- 18:05–18:35 Fumihiko Imamura (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
- Damage due to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, and its lessons.
- 18:35–18:50 Discussion
Closing Remarks 18:50-19:00
- Thomas H. Jordan (SCEC)
- Naoshi Hirata (ERI)
Dinner 19:30-21:00
Briefing session for field trip by Fumihiko Imamura (Tohoku Univ.) 21:00–22:00
Oct. 31 (DAY 3)
Field Trip
- 7:00 Breakfast
- 8:00 Checkout
- 8:00-15:00 Field trip
- Kentato Imai (Tohoku Univ.) Invited
- 16:00 Depart Sendai station
- 18:00 Arrive at Tokyo terminal