Since 2006, the bilateral international workshops between Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) and Earthquake Research Institute (ERI) have provided SCEC and ERI researchers an opportunity to discuss up-to-date results in the field of earth sciences as well as define future direction of research. Topics explored include the mechanical process of the Earth, investigation of seismic and volcanic phenomena from global and local viewpoints, monitoring and computational geoscience, disaster mitigation science, and prediction and forecast of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Host of the workshops has been alternated between SCEC and ERI.
The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop this time will be hosted by ERI at Tokyo on 16-17 March 2009. The proposed scientific program focuses on twofold:
I) Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas
II) Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes
Researches related to the former are domestically conducted under the special project “Earthquake Disaster Mitigation in Tokyo Metropolitan Area”, led by ERI. The latter is promoted under the current Japanese “Observation and Research Program for Prediction of Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions (2009-2013)” and associated with the international project “Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)”, initiated by SCEC and cooperated by ERI and others. The topics (I and II) would be emerging global challenges so that participants are expected to be not only ERI and SCEC researchers but also researchers in the world such as Japan, California, China, and Switzerland.
The workshop will cover one and a half day of lectures and discussion. The lectures are by invitation only but all participants are encouraged to participate in the science discussions with the emphasis on future direction of research.
The workshop will be followed by the University of Tokyo International Symposium on “Long-Period Ground Motion and Urban Disaster Mitigation” starting on the afternoon of 17 March 2009, hosted mainly by ERI. Workshop participants are encouraged to consider also attending the symposium.
Time |
Speaker |
Title |
March 16, 2010 | ||
---|---|---|
0900-0905 | Naoshi Hirata (ERI) | Greeting and introduction to the SCEC-ERI joint workshop |
I) Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas | ||
0905-0925 | Naoshi Hirata (ERI) | An Outline of the Special Project for Earthquake Disaster Mitigation in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area - subproject I: Characterization of the plate structure and source faults in and around the Tokyo Metropolitan area |
0925-0950 | Hiroshi Sato (ERI) | Contribution of recent seismic profiling for constructing source fault models in Japanese islands |
0950-1015 | David Okaya (SCEC) | Philippine Sea-Pacific slab interaction as an additional cause for seismicity beneath Kanto |
1015-1030 | Break | |
1030-1055 | Tom Jordan (SCEC) | Full Waveform Physics-Based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Calculations for Southern California using the SCEC CyberShake Platform |
1055-1120 | Greg Beroza (SCEC) | Seismic Energy: Scaling, Variability, and Implications for High Frequency Ground Motion |
1120-1145 | Ralph Archuleta (SCEC) | Ground motion for kinematic ruptures based on correlated parameters: New correlations from dynamic rupture models |
1145-1210 | Kazuki Koketsu (ERI) | Long-period ground motion and urban disaster mitigation |
1210-1240 | Science discussion | |
1240-1400 | Lunch | |
II) Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes (Part I) From Long-term Earthquake Hazards to CSEP Experiments |
||
1400-1425 | Kenji Satake (ERI) | Recurrence of Kanto earthquakes revealed from tsunami deposits in Miura peninsula |
1425-1450 | Lisa Grant –Ludwig (SCEC) | Recent rupture history of the San Andreas fault in the Carrizo Plain, California, USA |
1450-1515 | Kunihiko Shimazaki (AEDP) | Evaluation of seismic events and earthquake faults with weak surface features |
1515-1530 | Break | |
1530-1555 | Danijel Schorlemmer (SCEC) | The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Perspectives on Evaluation and Testing for Seismic Hazard |
1555-1620 | Jeremy Zechar (ETH) | Predictability experiments of earthquakes in Italy |
1620-1645 | Danijel Schorlemmer (SCEC) | Common Dependence on Stress of the two Fundamental Laws of Statistical Seismology: New Earthquake Forecast Models |
1645-1710 | Yosi Ogata (ISM) | Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity |
1710-1740 | Science discussion | |
1740-1745 | Naoshi Hirata (ERI) | Closing remark |
1800-2000 | Reception (Lounge at the 7th floor of the 1st Building, ERI) | |
March 17, 2010 | ||
II) Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes (Part II) From CSEP Experiments to Operational Earthquake Forecasting |
||
0900-0925 | Kunihiko Shimazaki (AEDP) | Planning of a public earthquake forecast |
0925-0940 | Hiroshi Tsuruoka (ERI) | Japan CSEP Testing Center - Progress Report |
0940-0955 | Kazu Z. Nanjo (ERI) | Completeness study for the JMA catalog: A Baseline for Rigorous Tests of Earthquake Forecasts for Japan |
0955-1020 | Jeremy Zechar (ETH) | Likelihood-based tests for evaluating earthquake forecasts: statistical power and result stability |
1020-1035 | Break | |
1035-1100 | Qinghua Huang (Peking Univ.) | Earthquake-related electromagnetic study in China |
1100-1125 | Tom Jordan (SCEC) | Prospects for Operational Earthquake Forecasting |
1125-1155 | Science discussion | |
1155-1200 | Naoshi Hirata (ERI) | Closing remark |
Last Modified: 2010/04/06